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- Many of us Canadian political junkies can remember the deal (that wasn't really a deal) between Elizabeth May and Stephane Dion in which Dion agreed not to run a candidate against the Green Party leader in the Central Nova riding, which is currently held by Foreign Affairs Minister Peter MacKay. According to Dion, the deal "will offer to Canadians a gesture of cooperation in order to be sure that Canada will put together all its assets as a great nation." Well, fast forward about a year and a half from that day, and ironically we see that the Greens and Liberals are not running candidates in Tobique-Mactaquac, many ridings in New Brunswick, Brossard, Gatineau, Outremont and Lasalle Emard. Unfortunately, for them, it has nothing to do with political cooperation just disorganization.
- Despite all the recent confusion for Dion nationally, he still holds a comfortable lead locally here in NB (an eight-point margin over the Conservatives) in a poll taken in early to mid-August by Bristol-Omnifacts Research. I might remind those of you who only read the Telegraph for your daily intake of news of two things: 1) there have been eight national polls release since then showing closer margins in Atlantic Canada between the Tories and Liberals and 2) this polling company is the same one that had Bernard Lord's Tories sitting at close to 52% to the Liberals 38% in the Miramichi ridings a week before the 2006 provincial election. I don't have to tell you how those numbers panned out in the 'chi.
- I see the economy very well could be the ballot box issue this time around, according to David Akin. However, I'd advise you to take Akin's advice under consideration since, according to Coyne, there really isn't a ballot question at this point. I have to agree with Andrew on this one, especially here in New Brunswick where the ballot question could ultimately come down to a number of key issues.
I have reincarnated this old blog and will be following both the national as well as the local developments in the New Brunswick region leading up to the 2011 federal election.
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4 comments:
I know Tobique-Mactaquac had a Liberal candidate several months ago, but apparently he dropped out (can't remeber his name) and I suppose it's possible they will muster one up before Oct.... But I find it amazing that this was a Liberal riding until Mike Allen won it by a few hundred votes...
Great point, Gyps. Maybe the riding of T/M has shifted since the Harper Tories made headway in 2004 (and Paul Martin didn't encourage a free vote on same sex marriage). This riding has always been the Bible belt of N.B. and is well to the right of the Liberals on many issues. Like Paul Martin did when he got in, Dion has moved his party so far to the left especially since his CArbon Tax stance, that many blue liberals will be voting conservative this time around like in '06.
In fact, depending on what happens here locally, Mr. Allen could be in for a larger majority then he thinks.
With Elizabeth May, Alexa McDonough, Scott Brison, Bill Casey and Peter Mackay going around mouthing off, there is literally thousands of ballot question in Nova Scotia, not one. Should be interesting to figure out which one makes the most sense.
With blogs, Youtube and ads being launched by the second, like no other election in history, voters will definitely have to find a way to cut through the spin and fluff.
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